Everyone Praising The Greek Bailout, however...

Greece

Yesterday, the Greeks and Europeans decided how to handle Greece's financial crisis with a 14 billion euros bailout package, which becomes due on March 20th, 2012. Everyone is happy right now... but keep your ear to the ground.

For more detailed info, read the links below:

ABC News Eurozone ministers agree to Greece bailout deal

Reuters Greek austerity and reform measures

Bloomberg Draghi Maintains His Silence on ECB’s Role in Greek Bailout

FT Alphaville Get Greece (out)

FT Alphaville Eurogroup maths

Stay tuned...
 

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Last Chance To Swap Those Drachmas!

drachma
By Paul Tugwell & Tom Stoukas

The imminent bailout of Greece, which is meant to keep the country in the euro zone, coincides with another historic date in the saga of Greek currency. On March 1 the Bank of Greece will stop exchanging drachma notes for euros.

The Bank of Greece, which has been responsible for collecting drachma notes and coins over the past 10 years -- coins had to be exchanged back in 2004 -- hasn’t been storing them for a just-in-case scenario. Rather, the central bank’s Printing Works Dept. cuts them into small pieces and has them compressed into recyclable blocks. It’s at least conceivable that some of the posters held up by angry Greeks protesting their government’s austerity plans started out as pieces of drachmas.

The March 1 deadline hasn’t exactly riveted the Greeks’ attention. “I wasn’t even aware of the deadline and don’t remember the date being widely publicized,” says Litsa Zafolia, 51, who closed her pet shop near Athens when sales plummeted once the crisis hit. Zafolia has held onto 2,000 drachmas -- worth about $7.73 -- for sentimental reasons. She has no plans to exchange them.

The modern drachma was Greece’s currency from 1833 to Feb. 28, 2002, when it stopped being legal tender. According to the Bank of Greece’s National Cash Changeover Plan, 700 million drachma notes had to be withdrawn from circulation and exchanged at the rate of 340.75 drachmas per euro. The Bank of Greece estimates drachma notes worth €200 million ($261.3 million) are still out there. Most are presumed lost or destroyed.

“Small numbers of people come to change modest amounts of drachmas on a daily basis,” says a teller, who asked not to be named, at the Bank of Greece’s central Athens office, an imposing neoclassical building that resembles New York’s Grand Central Terminal. No one was lining up with drachmas at the time.

Greeks were quick to embrace the euro when the currency became available in early 2002. “Entering the euro was the cherry on the cake of European Union membership,” says Andreas Maniatis, 56, an unemployed builder who changed all his drachmas early on. Today he sees the perils of staying in the euro and switching to a new drachma as pretty much equal. “The choice between new austerity measures with the euro and a default with the drachma is the same as choosing to be killed at five minutes to midnight or at midnight,” says Maniatis.

In a poll conducted for Greece’s Skai TV and Kathimerini newspaper in early February, 70 percent of those queried said a return to the drachma would make Greece’s situation worse, while 61 percent said they have a positive view of the euro.

If for some reason the current bailout arrangement collapses and Greece exits the euro, a new drachma will be a “real hell,” George Provopoulos, the current governor of the Bank of Greece, said in a Dec. 31 interview with Kathimerini.

The new currency would swiftly depreciate as much as 70 percent against the euro, Provopoulos told the newspaper. For a transitional period, before new drachmas could be printed and put into circulation, Greece would even have to resort to barter -- a kilo of olive oil, say, for three kilos of flour. That wasn’t the plan when Greece gave up the drachma a decade ago.

The bottom line: Although the Greeks have had years to swap their drachma notes, some €200 million worth of drachmas are still at large. [Bloomberg]

 

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Emergency Meeting Called In Greece, Bailout May Be In Trouble

Lucas Papademos

Negotiations between Greece and its creditors about the terms of an orderly Greek restructuring appear to have stalled in Athens, amid troika adamance that the country accept even more dramatic austerity measures in return for the aid they are expected to receive as part of a second bailout, according to the Telegraph.

Prime Minister Lucas Papademos has called an emergency meeting of party officials in an attempt to convince them to vote through the spending reforms and bring the debt swap deal to resolution.


Meanwhile, International Business Times reports that dissatisfaction with the Greek government rose to 91% in a poll two weeks ago, although the majority of respondents still supported Papademos.

A government explained to the Telegraph that it has been difficult to reach any kind of agreement with the inflexible troika. "The troika doesn't appear to be willing to accept any concessions whatsoever on reducing the minimum wage and scrapping bonuses," the aide said. "No political party is willing to move either, saying wage cuts are a red line they are simply not going to cross. You tell me how this is going to be resolved. We have no idea and we're very worried."

This impasse follows positive reports that Greece and its creditors would likely reach a deal this week, as well as the fallout of a now relinquished German proposal for Greece to give up budget control in exchange for the next bailout.

Business Insider
 

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EU Leaders Agree On Permanent Bailout Fund

Euro

(Reuters) - EU leaders will sign off on a permanent rescue fund for the euro zone at a summit on Monday and are expected to agree on a balanced budget rule in national legislation, with unresolved problems in Greece casting a shadow on the discussions.

The summit - the 17th in two years as the EU battles to resolve its sovereign debt problems - is supposed to focus on creating jobs and growth, with leaders looking to shift the narrative away from politically unpopular budget austerity.

The summit is expected to announce that up to 20 billion euros ($26.4 billion) of unused funds from the EU's 2007-2013 budget will be redirected toward job creation, especially among the young, and will commit to freeing up bank lending to small- and medium-sized companies.

But discussions over the permanent rescue fund, a new 'fiscal treaty' and Greece will dominate the talks.

Read more about the rescue fund at Reuters.
 

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Draghi Makes Euro Carry Trade Favorite!

Mario Draghi
European Central Bank President Mario Draghi

Borrowing in euros and investing in the currencies of Australia, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa and South Korea has returned 7.8 percent since the European Central Bank cut its benchmark interest rate on Nov. 3 for the first time in more than two years, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. So- called carry trades funded with yen have lost 0.3 percent and gained 1 percent when financed with dollars.

While a debt crisis entering its third year has driven the region’s shares to the cheapest levels since 2004 compared with the U.S. and the sovereign-bond market posted its biggest rally on record last month, euro bears say the currency won’t rebound anytime soon to wreck carry-trade profits. With government austerity measures threatening growth, ECB President Mario Draghi may have to cut rates to prop up an economy the World Bank expects to contract.

Read the full story at Bloomberg.
 

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