This Week On Turtle Soup

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Here is what happened on Turtle Soup the trading week ending 02/25/2011.

Sunday, February 20, 2011Who's Who in Forex: Pranab Kumar Mukherjee - India's powerful Finance Minister made it clear that India is not taking sides in the China-U.S. currency wars.

China Hammers G-20 Into Submission - China's hard bargaining forced the G-20 to water down its resolution to correct economic imbalances.

 

Monday, February 21, 2011 - Newsweek named Trichet the world's 5th most powerful man but he's got conspiracy theorists up in arms about his economic Global Governance stand.

FXCM To Announce Q4 Earnings - FXCM will report its 2010 Q4 earnings on March 2, 2011. You can listen in on their conference call.

 

Tuesday, February 22, 2011MIG Bank's New Transparent Dealing Model - MIG Bank is letting its clients see MIG's liquidity providers' bids so everyone knows they're getting the best price.

 

Wednesday, February 23, 2011IMF Reviews Praised Libya & Egypt - Did the IMF screw up when they praised Libya's and Egypt's ambitious reform agendas in a report just before the Middle East broke out in turmoil? Bad timing.

ECB Charges Politicians for Euro Problems - The ECB charged political leaders of member states with excessive spending and borrowing causing the Eurozone's current economic mess.

Stuckey Charged in $2.8 Million Forex Fraud - CFTC was busy again this week as they nabbed the Stuckey Group for yet another Forex scam.

Global Financial Crisis By Design? - John Truman Wolfe thinks the global financial crisis was carefully designed assault on the dollar. Somebody's listening - the man's got a best-selling book.

 

Thursday, February 24, 2011Currency War: Yuan vs. Dollar - Nouriel Roubini thinks that if four key things happen, then China's yuan could replace the dollar as the world's reserve currency.

Forex Tips From the Far East - 127 million Japanese can't be wrong. Japanese traders are so active they account for significant moves in currencies they favor.

 

Friday, February 25, 2011Triple 8 Launches UFXMarkets - A new ParagonEX broker. I called them in London and they would not give me their street address. What's up with that?

 

This was a good week - made a little money, met some new friends, and finished some badly needed changes on ForexTurtle. Hope to see you again next week.

 

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China Hammers G-20 Into Submission

Chinese President Hu Jintao
Chinese President Hu Jintao

China prevailed upon the G-20 to water down a resolution to correct global economic imbalances, even as India's Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee raised concerns about rising commodity and energy prices.

The final G-20 communiqué that was issued after two days of hard bargaining was a compromise worked out between the member countries. On China's insistence, it excluded key issues like foreign exchange reserves and fiscal deficit.

"There were differences, therefore in this communiqué, it was agreed that we will try to identify and complete the process (of selecting indicators) by April," Mukherjee reported after the meeting of finance ministers and central bank governors.

Mukherjee, spearheading the Indian team at G-20, said that about 500 tax information exchange agreements have been signed between different countries across the globe, a development that will help fight the menace of tax evasion and track ill-gotten money.

China is sitting on huge forex reserves and does not want these to be included as a parameter for tracking and correcting structural flaws to reduce global trade imbalances.

China has $2.8 trillion worth forex reserves and is accused by the U.S. of manipulating the yuan.

Read more
 

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Who's Who in Forex: Pranab Kumar Mukherjee

Pranab Mukherjee
Finance Minister Pranab Kumar Mukherjee

Pranab Kumar Mukherjee (born December 11, 1935, West Bengal, India) is the current Finance Minister of India. He is the leader of the current (15th) Lok Sabha (the lower house of the Indian parliament) and a member of the Congress Working Committee (CWC), the highest decision-making body of the Congress party.

Why Do You Care?

At the G-20 Finance Ministers’ meeting on Saturday, Murkherjee sent a clear signal that India is not willing to join the U.S.-China currency war. His position is that the foreign exchange adjustment is best be left to the sovereign governments, emphasizing that currency rates should be driven by market forces "as far as possible".

Mukherjee said, “the best course would be to leave it to sovereign governments to decide what course of action they will take. We take that position”.

Mukherjee’s comments come against backdrop of the U.S. pressuring China to revalue the yuan.

“At the same time every country has its own problems and they will have to address those issues. You cannot sit on value judgement from outside,” Mukherjee said.

His remarks put to rest speculations that India might join Brazil and the U.S. in pressuring China to revalue yuan.

Pranab Mukherjee bio from Wikipedia

 

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G-20 To Tackle Forex Issues

G-20

WASHINGTON -(Dow Jones)- Exchange-rate discussions among financial ministers at the Group of 20 nations conference later this week will largely be in the context of emerging-market concerns about volatile capital flows, commodity-price inflation and rebalancing the global economy, a senior U.S. Treasury official said Tuesday.

China's policy of keeping a tight lid on the yuan, despite some moves toward liberalizing its currency, has become increasingly irksome to developing nations such as Brazil. Low interest rates in the U.S. and Europe are fueling massive investment into emerging nations that promise higher cash yields, but the under-valued yuan is forcing other developing nations to bear the brunt of the pain given that their exchange rates are largely already floating at market rates.
Many emerging-market economies are near overheating, and food and other commodity-price inflation is adding to their economic problems.

The senior Treasury official said Washington supports a plan by French President Nicholas Sarkozy, as chairman of the G-20, to develop a framework to manage volatile capital flows. The official said there may be some circumstances where so-called "macroprudential measures," which are designed to manage investment flows in and out of countries and are often called capital controls, could be used.

Traditionally, the U.S. has objected to such controls, but given the circumstances of some emerging countries, Washington appears to be taking a slightly more practical approach, using the discussion to continue to apply pressure on Beijing to let its currency appreciate.

In Brazil recently, Treasury Secretary Timothy Geithner called some of the measures used "pragmatic." Treasury officials point to the fact that Brazil's strong currency and already relatively high interest rates leave the country with little room to maneuver. China, meanwhile, could help to take some of the currency pressure off nations such as Brazil by raising the value of its currency. The yuan hasn't appreciated against many emerging-market currencies at the same pace as it has with the dollar.

Aside from allowing currencies to float at market-determined levels, the senior Treasury official said the U.S. hasn't yet determined what policy mix should be included in any framework. But, the official said, it should include an assessment of the spill-over effects that capital controls and exchange-rate policy have on major trading partners.
 

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